值得注意的是, 五个月均线 (MA) 有利于空头的翻了个身，似乎将削减从上述10个月MA, signaling a bearish crossover for the first time since June 2014.
If that occurs it could be a worrying signal for the long-term price outlook. Back then, following an identical crossover in June 2014, the cryptocurrency subsequently dropped by 70 百分 (从 $580 至 $166) in the seven months leading up to January 2015.
This time around, the bearish crossover will likely occur at the turn of the month, if bitcoin extends the current decline towards the $7,000 标记, and would open the doors for a deeper sell-off towards the $5,000 标记.
目前, the five-month MA is seen at $8,916 and the 10-month MA is located at $8,379, according to Bitfinex data. 与此同时, bitcoin is changing hands at $7,820 – down almost 5 在百分之最后 24 小时.
The observed lower-highs and lower-lows pattern (marked by circles) and the downward sloping 5-day and 10-day MAs indicate a bearish setup. The chart also shows a bearish crossover between the 10-day and 50-day MAs.
进一步, the relative strength index (RSI) is below 50.00 (in the bearish territory), but holding well above 30.00 (oversold territory), indicating enough room for a sell-off towards $7,000.
Acceptance below the 50-week MA, currently seen at $7,620, would only bolster the already bearish daily chart technicals and increase the odds of the bearish five-month/10-month MA crossover.
The 50-week MA worked as a strong support in April, so a break below that level could yield a sharp sell-off.
- BTC risks deeper pullback towards $7,000. In such a case, the 5-month MA will cross the 10-month MA from above, signaling a bearish crossover and opening doors for a drop to $5,000.
- Bullish scenario: A solid rebound from the 50-week MA at $7,620 and a convincing break above $8,644 would signal a bullish reversal.
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