Bitcoin האם חזרה מעל $8,500 אבל האם ראלי יש רגליים?

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) זינק שוב מעל $8,500, but the rally is not backed by decent trading volumes, the technical charts indicate.

The cryptocurrency closed below key technical levels on Thursday, signaling a bearish breakdown, but the ensuing sell-off unexpectedly ran out of steam at $7,925 on Friday. לאחר מכן, over the weekend, bitcoin gained more than $500, rising back above resistance at the 50-day moving average.

נכון לרגע כתיבת, BTC משתנית ידות $8,530, having clocked a six-day high of $8,644 earlier today.

While last week’s bearish trend seems to have run out of steam (as seen in the charts below), the weekend’s low-volume rally risks trapping the bulls on the wrong side of the market.

4-תרשים שעה

ה inverse head-and-shoulders breakout indicates short-term bullish trend reversal – פשוט, כלומר. the pullback from the high of $9,990 has ended and the breakout has opened the doors to $9,000 (target as per the measured height method.

Daily chart

The daily chart shows yesterday’s candle closed (as per UTC) above Saturday’s doji candle high of $8,468, signaling a bullish reversal. נוסף, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages have shed bearish bias (are no longer sloping downwards).

כתוצאה, the probability that bitcoin will rally to $9,000 this week is high. למרות זאת, the bullish case significantly weakens if we take into account the figures for trading volume.

Volume is an important indicator, as it shows the level of interest in bitcoin. A rally backed by high volumes means greater reliance can be placed on the bullish move. Conversely, a low volume rally trends to end up being a bull trap.

In BTC’s case, currently, trading volume on Bitfinex continues to decline and more importantly remained low alongside positive price action, כפי שניתן לראות בתרשים לעיל. נוסף, trading volume across all exchanges fell below $5 billion over the weekendthe lowest level since April 11, לפי CoinMarketCap.

Thus, the sustainability of the rally seen over the weekend is under question.

נוף

  • BTC rally lacks substance (low volumes), hence the outlook is likely neutral, despite the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout (4-תרשים שעה) and the bullish doji reversal (גרף יומי).
  • A failure to hold above $8,475 (inverse head-and-shoulders neckline) would revive the bearish view and allow a drop to Friday’s low of $7,925.
  • בצד הגבוה, only a high volume move above the 100-day moving average, currently seen at $8,857, would open the doors to $10,000.

Running up steps תמונה באמצעות Shutterstock

המנהיג בחדשות blockchain, CoinDesk הינו גוף תקשורת זה שואפת סטנדרטים עיתונאיים הגבוה ומצייתת ידי סט קפדן של מדיניות עריכה. CoinDesk הנה חברת בת בבעלות הפעלה עצמאית של קבוצת המטבע הדיגיטלית, המשקיעה cryptocurrencies וחברות הזנק blockchain.

https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-back-above-8500-but-does-rally-have-legs/

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